Structured probability systems offer lessons in discipline, risk limits, and decision-making within volatile crypto markets.

Moody’s Analytics model forecasts a 49% chance of a US recession in the next 12 months, the closest probability in years.

Anthropic said Opus assigned itself a, "15-20 percent," chance of being fully conscious and Douthat asked Amodei if he would believe a model that gave itself a 72 percent chance of being conscious.

A multicenter study in Spain developed a new predictive model for surgical risk in patients with cirrhosis that may improve the prediction of postoperative mortality. The surgical risk prediction ...

A peer-reviewed article in Neurobiology of Learning and Memory is challenging a foundational assumption about how animals and ...

Moody’s Zandi warns U.S. recession odds near 50% as Iran conflict lifts oil prices, fueling inflation fears and weak data—get ...

Who will rule the 2026 AI leaderboard? See the latest Kalshi prediction market odds for Claude, Gemini & ChatGPT to see how traders are betting on AI.

Which double-digit seeds have the highest potential to advance to the second round? Here's what ESPN's BPI says.

Venture capitalist Chamath Palihapitiya argues that accelerating AI disruption could compress equity valuations across entire ...

SportsLine's proven computer model locked in its top NBA bets for Friday at FanDuel Sportsbook ...

Objective probability estimates the odds of an event occurring through data analysis. It uses concrete measures instead of guesses to provide a reliable forecast.

A pair of featherweights clash when Josh Emmett faces Kevin Vallejos in the main event at UFC Fight Night on Saturday in Las ...