The record for most goals scored in a World Cup tournament is 172, but that could be broken by the time the group stages wrap ...

Abstract: The Poisson-binomial probability density function (pdf) describes the numbers of successes in N independent trials, when the individual probabilities of success vary across trials. Its use ...

What are each national team’s chances of winning the World Cup? We’ve built a statistical model to try to answer that question rigorously. The model works in two steps: first we measure each team’s ...

The Amazon Prime Video TV adaptation of “The Probability of Miracles” has added two new cast members. Variety has learned ...

The World Cup is turning prediction markets into a public ledger of million-dollar bets, exposing big wins and dramatic losses as the tournament attracts more money to the fast-growing industry.

Decades ago, Paul Erdős used randomness to illuminate the vast and weird world of networks. Now mathematicians are making his ...