Researchers have long been puzzled by the observed cooling of the eastern tropical Pacific and the Southern Ocean accompanying global warming. Existing climate models have failed to capture this ...

The world’s largest climate modeling initiative is quietly ramping up its next project, but U.S. participation is a wild card ...

Northern wildfires may be more dangerous for the climate than they appear. Researchers found that fires in boreal forests can burn deep into peat soils, releasing ancient carbon stored for hundreds or ...

Changes in rainfall within global monsoon regions affect the livelihoods of billions. For years, climate models have ...

Models, by definition, are approximations: useful, informative, and inevitably incomplete, because they are the only way to simplify a world too complex to grasp all at once. A new study on nitrous ...

Climate models have been the basis for concern about climate change for more than 35 years. The US government, the United Nations, and organizations across the world have used model projections to ...

Over the past 60 years, scientists have largely succeeded in building a computer model of Earth to see what the future holds. One of the most ambitious projects humankind has ever undertaken has now ...

At the end of the 19th century Svante Arrhenius, a Swedish chemist, made one of the first concerted attempts to work out the relationship between Earth’s average temperature and the amount of carbon ...

Humans have tried to predict the weather for as long as there have been floods and droughts. But in recent years, climate science, advanced computing and satellite imagery have supercharged their ...

The researchers applied statistical tools designed to identify structural changes in time series data over time, commonly called changepoint models, to four sets of global mean surface temperature ...